?Project based mass timber only — buildings with CLT or CLT and GLT combined or MPP. Does not include commodity beams, DLT, NLT or rig mats. The purpose of this model is to identify future demand for the development of new CLT/GLT factories for project based mass timber.North American Project-Based Mass Timber Demand Estimate
White cells are editable inputs; blue cells are calculated. Mass Timber values recompute against a benchmark adoption ratio (BAR) of 4.5 m³ per 1,000 capita and the levers below. Population grows at a 5‑year average CAGR; adoption converges to the BAR by each region's Year to BAR, then grows at the post‑BAR CAGR. Uploaded July 27, 2026.
?
Compound annual growth rate for mass timber after a province or state reaches the benchmark adoption ratio (BAR).
Mass Timber CAGR
%
post BAR
?
Volume of mass timber in a 10 story mass timber building on a 2 story concrete podium. 7,500 ft² area per floor with CLT floor plates and post and beam GLT support structure.
Used for the "# of 10 over 2" reference count to indicate the number of buildings it would require to consume the demand estimate volume. This building concept has been socialized by Wesgroup Properties (Vancouver, B.C.). 10 over 2 Mass Timber m³ Volume
Used for the "# of 10 over 2" reference count to indicate the number of buildings it would require to consume the demand estimate volume. This building concept has been socialized by Wesgroup Properties (Vancouver, B.C.). 10 over 2 Mass Timber m³ Volume
Regional Summary
| Region | Mass Timber 2024 (m³) |
Mass Timber 2036 (m³) |
?Mass Timber CAGRCalculated compound annual growth rate for mass timber. |
Population 2024 |
?PopulationPopulation based on predicted compound annual growth rates by province and state. 2036 |
?Adoption RatioMass timber per 1,000 capita in the start year (2024). 2024 |
?Adoption RatioMass timber per 1,000 capita in the demand estimate year. 2036 |
?# of 10 over 2For reference: annual number of 10 story mass timber buildings on a 2 story concrete podium. in 2036 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada West | 37,863 | 78,589 | 6.27% | 13,453,913 | 18,282,244 | 2.81 | 4.30 | 52.39 |
| Canada East | 34,480 | 158,567 | 13.56% | 27,834,686 | 35,493,603 | 1.24 | 4.47 | 105.71 |
| US West | 70,110 | 266,397 | 11.77% | 92,033,881 | 98,322,782 | 0.76 | 2.71 | 177.60 |
| US East | 51,451 | 266,535 | 14.69% | 124,274,111 | 129,797,773 | 0.41 | 2.05 | 177.69 |
| US South | 70,790 | 430,232 | 16.23% | 123,802,996 | 146,164,740 | 0.57 | 2.94 | 286.82 |
| Total | 264,694 | 1,200,319 | 13.43% | 381,399,587 | 428,061,142 | 0.69 | 2.80 | 800.21 |
Province / State Detail (Scroll within Frame)
?The scenario buttons toggle between levels of estimated compound annual growth rates. These rates are then converted to the year a province or state would reach the BAR. The bases for the progression is the state of the mass timber ecosystem of each province and state. Progressive CAGR is a scenario where codes are in place and mainstream midrise buildings are being constructed with mass timber.CAGR Scenario:
Custom
| Province / State | Region | ?Mass TimberEstimated volume of mass timber delivered or installed in the start year (2024). Editable input — must be ≥ 0. The default values are based on Anthropic AI data by province and state. Note that the total estimated volume balances to the current North American production capacity with a small allowance for European imported mass timber. 2024 (m³) |
?Year to BAREstimated year that a province or state will reach the benchmark adoption ratio (BAR). Editable input — must be between 2025 and 2060. | Mass Timber 2036 (m³) |
?Adoption Ratio 2024Mass timber per 1,000 capita in the start year (2024). |
?Adoption Ratio 2036Mass timber per 1,000 capita in the demand estimate year. |
?Mass Timber CAGRCalculated compound annual growth rate for mass timber. |
?# of 10 over 2 in 2036For reference: annual number of 10 story mass timber buildings on a 2 story concrete podium. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberta | 30,281 | 1.77 | 4.24 | 11.02% | 20.19 | |||
| British Columbia | 32,617 | 4.37 | 4.36 | 2.28% | 21.74 | |||
| Manitoba | 8,731 | 1.81 | 4.45 | 10.27% | 5.82 | |||
| New Brunswick | 5,095 | 1.90 | 4.43 | 10.02% | 3.40 | |||
| Newfoundland | 1,211 | 0.59 | 1.88 | 11.73% | 0.81 | |||
| Northwest Territories | 6 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 16.22% | 0.00 | |||
| Nova Scotia | 6,514 | 1.51 | 4.50 | 12.30% | 4.34 | |||
| Nunavut | 7 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 17.46% | 0.00 | |||
| Ontario | 96,070 | 0.92 | 4.48 | 16.87% | 64.05 | |||
| Prince Edward Island | 1,099 | 1.79 | 4.47 | 10.83% | 0.73 | |||
| Quebec | 48,578 | 1.74 | 4.59 | 9.81% | 32.39 | |||
| Saskatchewan | 6,938 | 1.31 | 4.52 | 12.89% | 4.63 | |||
| Yukon | 8 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 19.50% | 0.01 | |||
| Alabama | 15,884 | 0.42 | 2.80 | 18.09% | 10.59 | |||
| Alaska | 1,321 | 0.43 | 1.76 | 12.54% | 0.88 | |||
| Arizona | 18,671 | 0.36 | 2.13 | 17.49% | 12.45 | |||
| Arkansas | 17,011 | 3.08 | 5.01 | 4.97% | 11.34 | |||
| California | 91,801 | 0.44 | 2.27 | 14.87% | 61.20 | |||
| Colorado | 31,515 | 1.93 | 4.75 | 8.76% | 21.01 | |||
| Connecticut | 4,073 | 0.21 | 1.03 | 15.02% | 2.72 | |||
| Delaware | 1,378 | 0.30 | 1.11 | 12.94% | 0.92 | |||
| District of Columbia | 16 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 26.21% | 0.01 | |||
| Florida | 40,197 | 0.23 | 1.37 | 18.21% | 26.80 | |||
| Georgia | 58,979 | 1.05 | 4.57 | 14.43% | 39.32 | |||
| Hawaii | 1,359 | 0.22 | 0.94 | 12.81% | 0.91 | |||
| Idaho | 11,027 | 1.08 | 4.50 | 14.55% | 7.35 | |||
| Illinois | 30,346 | 0.34 | 2.36 | 17.64% | 20.23 | |||
| Indiana | 5,169 | 0.14 | 0.69 | 14.96% | 3.45 | |||
| Iowa | 3,293 | 0.23 | 0.97 | 13.00% | 2.20 | |||
| Kansas | 3,157 | 0.26 | 1.01 | 12.60% | 2.10 | |||
| Kentucky | 4,528 | 0.19 | 0.92 | 14.85% | 3.02 | |||
| Louisiana | 3,535 | 0.19 | 0.77 | 12.50% | 2.36 | |||
| Maine | 4,613 | 0.61 | 3.02 | 15.02% | 3.08 | |||
| Maryland | 22,527 | 0.67 | 3.43 | 15.02% | 15.02 | |||
| Massachusetts | 35,470 | 1.33 | 4.63 | 11.60% | 23.65 | |||
| Michigan | 14,081 | 0.27 | 1.34 | 14.76% | 9.39 | |||
| Minnesota | 18,810 | 0.65 | 3.06 | 14.31% | 12.54 | |||
| Mississippi | 1,797 | 0.15 | 0.60 | 12.66% | 1.20 | |||
| Missouri | 5,121 | 0.16 | 0.78 | 14.87% | 3.41 | |||
| Montana | 5,887 | 1.42 | 4.65 | 11.35% | 3.92 | |||
| Nebraska | 2,788 | 0.32 | 1.28 | 12.90% | 1.86 | |||
| Nevada | 4,613 | 0.26 | 1.24 | 15.03% | 3.08 | |||
| New Hampshire | 2,197 | 0.38 | 1.47 | 12.41% | 1.46 | |||
| New Jersey | 5,407 | 0.10 | 0.52 | 15.39% | 3.60 | |||
| New Mexico | 3,600 | 0.31 | 1.67 | 15.33% | 2.40 | |||
| New York | 52,957 | 0.50 | 2.60 | 14.90% | 35.30 | |||
| North Carolina | 44,423 | 0.59 | 3.36 | 17.40% | 29.62 | |||
| North Dakota | 1,384 | 0.40 | 1.60 | 12.98% | 0.92 | |||
| Ohio | 24,302 | 0.27 | 1.97 | 18.28% | 16.20 | |||
| Oklahoma | 3,561 | 0.21 | 0.78 | 12.57% | 2.37 | |||
| Oregon | 21,912 | 2.27 | 5.01 | 7.03% | 14.61 | |||
| Pennsylvania | 17,192 | 0.25 | 1.30 | 14.92% | 11.46 | |||
| Rhode Island | 1,328 | 0.29 | 1.14 | 12.59% | 0.89 | |||
| South Carolina | 19,623 | 0.49 | 2.89 | 17.97% | 13.08 | |||
| South Dakota | 1,316 | 0.35 | 1.25 | 12.50% | 0.88 | |||
| Tennessee | 37,978 | 0.75 | 4.50 | 17.65% | 25.32 | |||
| Texas | 149,992 | 0.63 | 3.87 | 18.38% | 99.99 | |||
| Utah | 19,225 | 1.39 | 4.59 | 12.14% | 12.82 | |||
| Vermont | 2,293 | 0.83 | 3.54 | 12.81% | 1.53 | |||
| Virginia | 31,410 | 0.49 | 3.28 | 17.98% | 20.94 | |||
| Washington | 41,644 | 1.88 | 4.70 | 8.88% | 27.76 | |||
| West Virginia | 1,851 | 0.24 | 1.05 | 12.93% | 1.23 | |||
| Wisconsin | 19,233 | 0.67 | 3.08 | 13.98% | 12.82 | |||
| Wyoming | 1,372 | 0.54 | 2.23 | 12.90% | 0.91 |
©International Online Expos Inc.